Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 14:30
12.3241.2%
X3.4227.9%
23.0930.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Augsburg
LWDDLLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Schalke 04
DDLLLLLDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
6.30
8.30
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Augsburg attack
1.10goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded1.30Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
0.50goals per matchAugsburg conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.30
8.30
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.90
Match total
25.50
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.10
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches721
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.3%+0.2 pp
Draw27.9%28.7%+0.8 pp
Away30.9%30.0%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
1.44–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
1-09.7%
2-19.0%
0-18.5%
0-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.59
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=721.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches223
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.4%29.4%–41.9% CI
Draw FT39.0%32.8%–45.5% CI
Away FT25.6%20.3%–31.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away44.4%