Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 18:30
12.2642.3%
X3.2329.6%
23.4128.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolfsburg
DLWDWWWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Union Berlin
WLWLLLWWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.50
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.00
10.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

2.30goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.80
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.00goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.00
10.70
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.00
Match total
23.60

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
6.10
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches746
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%42.5%+0.2 pp
Draw29.6%33.5%+3.9 pp
Away28.1%24.0%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.280.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
1-013.3%
0-011.0%
2-08.8%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.31
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=745.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.523.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches265
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.2%27.8%–39.1% CI
Draw FT45.3%39.4%–51.3% CI
Away FT21.5%17.0%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away41.5%