Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:30
11.9449.3%
X3.6626.1%
23.9024.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WDWWWWDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Hoffenheim
WLDWDLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
7.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.80goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.70
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.30goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
7.70
Match total
9.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.10
Match total
26.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.60
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches378
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.3%46.6%-2.8 pp
Draw26.1%28.8%+2.7 pp
Away24.5%24.6%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.621.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-19.8%
0-08.5%
1-08.5%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.35
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=378.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches114
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%23.8%–40.6% CI
Draw FT43.9%35.1%–53.0% CI
Away FT24.6%17.6%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away48.2%