Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 14:30
11.4267.3%
X5.0319.0%
26.9513.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWWWWWDWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
M'gladbach
DDLDLLLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.30goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.20
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.10goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.30
On target
3.90
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.3%72.8%+5.5 pp
Draw19.0%20.4%+1.4 pp
Away13.7%6.8%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

2.440.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.6%
2-010.7%
3-09.7%
3-18.7%
1-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.51
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away31.3%