Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:30
11.5561.7%
X4.3821.8%
25.8116.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
LLDWDWWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hertha
LLWDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.70
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.00goals per match
Hertha conceded2.10
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.90goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.70
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%72.2%+10.5 pp
Draw21.8%17.0%-4.9 pp
Away16.5%10.8%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

2.260.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.3%
3-010.8%
1-110.8%
2-19.4%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.60
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%37.7%–62.3% CI
Draw FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI
Away FT18.3%10.6%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away46.7%