Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:30
11.5561.7%
X4.3821.8%
25.8116.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leverkusen
LLDWDWWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hertha
LLWDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.70
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.00goals per matchHertha conceded2.10Matchup
Hertha attack
0.90goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.10
Match total
25.30
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.70
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%72.2%+10.5 pp
Draw21.8%17.0%-4.9 pp
Away16.5%10.8%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS47.6%
Historical average
2.26–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.3%
3-010.8%
1-110.8%
2-19.4%
2-09.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.30–3.60
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%37.7%–62.3% CI
Draw FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI
Away FT18.3%10.6%–29.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away46.7%