Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 17:30
16.5314.7%
X5.0319.1%
21.4566.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stuttgart
LDLLWWWDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Bayern Munich
WDLDWWWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.40
1.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.60
9.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

1.40goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.20
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.40goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.60
9.50
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
22.80
Match total
20.50

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
5.10
On target
5.80
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.7%10.8%-3.9 pp
Draw19.1%13.5%-5.6 pp
Away66.2%75.7%+9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS40.5%

Historical average

0.572.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.2%
0-316.2%
1-313.5%
0-18.1%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.865.41
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away70.0%