Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 14:30
11.9349.6%
X3.3828.3%
24.3522.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WWDWWWDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
FC Koln
DWDLLLLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.40
Against
6.00
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.70
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.20
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.90goals per match
Union Berlin conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.00
10.60
Match total
11.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.90
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches430
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%54.4%+4.8 pp
Draw28.3%28.1%-0.2 pp
Away22.0%17.4%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.510.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-112.1%
2-011.6%
2-111.4%
0-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.453.98
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=430.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%35.1%–50.9% CI
Draw FT40.8%33.2%–48.9% CI
Away FT16.3%11.2%–23.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away34.0%