Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 14:30
11.9349.6%
X3.3828.3%
24.3522.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
WWDWWWDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
FC Koln
DWDLLLLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.40
Against
6.00
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.90goals per matchFC Koln conceded2.20Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.90goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.00
10.60
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.00
Match total
23.40
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.90
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches430
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%54.4%+4.8 pp
Draw28.3%28.1%-0.2 pp
Away22.0%17.4%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.51–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
1-112.1%
2-011.6%
2-111.4%
0-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–3.98
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=430.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%35.1%–50.9% CI
Draw FT40.8%33.2%–48.9% CI
Away FT16.3%11.2%–23.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away34.0%