Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 14:30
12.4738.8%
X3.5527.0%
22.8034.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WLWWLWWLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Freiburg
WWDDLWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.40
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
3.60
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.30
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.20goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.10
Match total
24.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.90
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%42.6%+3.8 pp
Draw27.0%28.4%+1.4 pp
Away34.2%29.0%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.461.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-110.7%
1-08.9%
2-28.3%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.98
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Draw FT43.1%30.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT23.5%14.0%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away51.0%