Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 14:30
11.9349.6%
X3.7725.4%
23.8424.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LDDWLDLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Hoffenheim
LWLDWDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
8.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.50
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.10goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.90
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.40goals per match
Mainz conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
8.10
Match total
9.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
22.70
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%50.4%+0.8 pp
Draw25.4%29.6%+4.2 pp
Away24.9%19.9%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.731.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
2-010.2%
1-09.3%
2-28.4%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.51
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%30.1%–54.3% CI
Draw FT43.3%31.6%–55.9% CI
Away FT15.0%8.1%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.3%
Away45.0%