Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 14:30
12.3441.0%
X3.5826.8%
22.9732.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
LLWDDLLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
DWWDWLLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
7.90
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.10
Total goals
3.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.30
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.40goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
7.90
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.20
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches325
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%38.8%-2.2 pp
Draw26.8%28.3%+1.5 pp
Away32.3%32.9%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.451.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-210.2%
2-18.6%
2-07.7%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.69
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%22.1%–41.5% CI
Draw FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI
Away FT31.0%22.1%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away50.0%