Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 19:30
12.2243.3%
X3.6826.1%
23.1430.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WLWWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
RB Leipzig
LLLDDWWWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.60
Against
3.40
10.00
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.60
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.40
10.00
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.40
Match total
24.90

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
6.10
On target
5.10
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%40.1%-3.1 pp
Draw26.1%24.8%-1.3 pp
Away30.6%35.0%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.561.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-08.8%
1-18.8%
1-08.0%
1-27.3%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.45
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%29.1%–57.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.0%–48.4% CI
Away FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away33.3%