Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 16:30
11.3372.2%
X5.5117.4%
29.2110.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WDDWWWWDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Union Berlin
WWLWLLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.40
Against
3.80
10.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.10goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.60
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.60goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.80
10.80
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.70
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
17.80
Match total
23.90

Shots

22.20N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
10.00
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.2%70.9%-1.3 pp
Draw17.4%18.5%+1.1 pp
Away10.4%10.6%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

2.390.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
2-011.3%
3-010.6%
1-07.9%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.303.35
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.538.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.1%36.4%–69.1% CI
Draw FT40.6%25.5%–57.7% CI
Away FT6.3%1.7%–20.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals53.1%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away37.5%