Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 14:30
12.2043.6%
X3.5926.7%
23.2229.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LWDWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Leverkusen
LWDLLLWWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.70
Against
4.00
8.40
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.90
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.40goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.00
8.40
Match total
7.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.00
Match total
21.90

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.90
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches389
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%42.9%-0.6 pp
Draw26.7%32.9%+6.2 pp
Away29.8%24.2%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.531.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
2-09.5%
1-09.5%
2-18.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.47
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=389.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%28.2%–46.1% CI
Draw FT44.0%35.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT19.3%13.0%–27.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.9%
Away42.2%