Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 14:30
14.1523.1%
X4.2222.7%
21.7754.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WWDLLLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Dortmund
WLLLWLLWWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
7.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.20goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.60
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.30goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
12.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.60
Match total
22.00

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
5.40
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%21.6%-1.5 pp
Draw22.7%13.7%-9.0 pp
Away54.2%64.7%+10.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.545.1%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.312.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.8%
0-111.8%
2-19.8%
1-47.8%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.086.10
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away64.7%