Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 14:30
14.1523.1%
X4.2222.7%
21.7754.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
WWDLLLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Dortmund
WLLLWLLWWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
7.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.20goals per matchDortmund conceded1.60Matchup
Dortmund attack
1.30goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.60
Match total
22.00
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
5.40
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%21.6%-1.5 pp
Draw22.7%13.7%-9.0 pp
Away54.2%64.7%+10.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.545.1%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.31–2.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.8%
0-111.8%
2-19.8%
1-47.8%
2-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.08–6.10
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away64.7%