Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-24 · 19:30
12.1544.7%
X3.6726.2%
23.3029.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DLDDWLDLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
M'gladbach
DDDLDLLLWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.70goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.00
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.30goals per match
Mainz conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
8.30
Match total
10.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.70
Match total
23.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.70
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%43.0%-1.7 pp
Draw26.2%31.7%+5.5 pp
Away29.1%25.3%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.451.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.7%
1-112.2%
0-010.9%
2-19.0%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.48
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Draw FT47.2%36.1%–58.6% CI
Away FT15.3%8.8%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away38.9%