Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 18:30
11.8352.4%
X3.9224.4%
24.1323.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
LLLDWDWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Mainz
WWWLLWLLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.50
Against
4.20
8.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.90goals per match
Mainz conceded1.80
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.20
8.40
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.90
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.10
Match total
25.00

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
6.00
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%50.0%-2.4 pp
Draw24.4%24.5%+0.1 pp
Away23.2%25.5%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.761.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-18.2%
0-18.2%
3-08.2%
3-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.15
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%29.2%–62.2% CI
Away FT12.9%5.1%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.5%
Away41.9%