Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 14:30
12.4040.0%
X4.0024.0%
22.6636.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WDDWWWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Freiburg
LWDLLWDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
2.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.70
Against
5.00
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.70goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.40
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.00
9.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
19.90
Match total
22.60

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.90
On target
4.70
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%37.5%-2.5 pp
Draw24.0%16.7%-7.3 pp
Away36.1%45.8%+9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.711.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.7%
1-212.5%
3-18.3%
2-08.3%
4-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.63
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away80.0%