Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 14:30
12.4040.0%
X4.0024.0%
22.6636.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leverkusen
WDDWWWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Freiburg
LWDLLWDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.70
2.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.70
Against
5.00
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.70goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.40Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.70goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.00
9.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.90
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
19.90
Match total
22.60
Shots
16.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.90
On target
4.70
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%37.5%-2.5 pp
Draw24.0%16.7%-7.3 pp
Away36.1%45.8%+9.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
1.71–1.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-216.7%
1-212.5%
3-18.3%
2-08.3%
4-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.63
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away80.0%