Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-14 · 14:30
11.5263.2%
X4.9819.3%
25.4917.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WLWWLWWLWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Hertha
LDLDLLLLWD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
0.60
1.90
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.50
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.40
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
5.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
3.10goals per matchHertha conceded1.80Matchup
Hertha attack
0.60goals per matchDortmund conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.40
10.60
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
21.50
Match total
25.60
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.70
20%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%61.9%-1.3 pp
Draw19.3%19.0%-0.2 pp
Away17.5%19.0%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
2.19–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.3%
6-09.5%
2-09.5%
3-19.5%
0-29.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.24–3.95
Average total11.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away45.0%