Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 17:30
12.4938.5%
X3.4727.7%
22.8433.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
WWLLDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Mainz
LLLLDLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.90
2.40
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
2.90
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.70
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded
2.40
4.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.60goals per matchMainz conceded2.40Matchup
Mainz attack
0.90goals per matchHertha conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
23.40
Match total
27.10
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%40.8%+2.3 pp
Draw27.7%23.5%-4.2 pp
Away33.8%35.7%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.30–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
1-210.8%
1-010.3%
2-19.9%
0-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.38
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%19.9%–43.3% CI
Away FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.66
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.9%
Away53.6%