Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 17:30
12.4938.5%
X3.4727.7%
22.8433.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
WWLLDLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Mainz
LLLLDLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
2.40
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
2.90
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.70
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded
2.40
4.00
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.60goals per match
Mainz conceded2.40
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Hertha conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
23.40
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%40.8%+2.3 pp
Draw27.7%23.5%-4.2 pp
Away33.8%35.7%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.301.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-210.8%
1-010.3%
2-19.9%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.38
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%19.9%–43.3% CI
Away FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.9%
Away53.6%