Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 14:30
13.2529.6%
X4.0523.7%
22.0646.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
WDWLWWDLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leverkusen
WLLWWLDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
11.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.80goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.60Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.20goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
11.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.60
Match total
20.60
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.80
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%31.3%+1.7 pp
Draw23.7%25.0%+1.3 pp
Away46.7%43.8%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.556.3%
BTTS87.5%
Historical average
1.75–2.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
1-412.5%
1-312.5%
2-36.3%
3-46.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–5.25
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.518.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Draw FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Away FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals52.0%
3+ goals24.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away60.0%