Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 14:30
11.9549.2%
X3.7125.9%
23.8624.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
LWDWDWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Union Berlin
LWDWLLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
2.10goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.40Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.10goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.10
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
19.90
Match total
22.00
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%46.4%-2.9 pp
Draw25.9%29.0%+3.2 pp
Away24.9%24.6%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS58.9%
Historical average
1.69–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
2-19.7%
0-17.3%
2-27.3%
1-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–4.33
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.3%28.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals23.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away45.9%