Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 14:30
11.9549.2%
X3.7125.9%
23.8624.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LWDWDWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Union Berlin
LWDWLLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.10goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.40
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.10
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
19.90
Match total
22.00

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%46.4%-2.9 pp
Draw25.9%29.0%+3.2 pp
Away24.9%24.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.691.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-19.7%
0-17.3%
2-27.3%
1-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.33
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.3%28.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals23.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away45.9%