Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-05-02 · 19:30
14.1823.0%
X4.1023.4%
21.7953.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
WLLLLWDWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
RB Leipzig
LLDWLWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
2.40
2.10
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.70
9.00
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.40
2.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.80
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.70goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.10Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.40goals per matchM'gladbach conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.70
9.00
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.30
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.10
Match total
22.50
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.60
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
25%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%25.3%+2.3 pp
Draw23.4%27.7%+4.3 pp
Away53.6%47.0%-6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS57.8%
Historical average
1.22–1.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.0%
1-28.4%
0-07.2%
2-17.2%
1-46.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.16–5.64
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.4%
Away52.6%