Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 17:30
12.4838.7%
X3.5527.0%
22.8034.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WWDWLWWDLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Freiburg
LLWDLLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.70goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.30
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.40goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
11.40
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
4.00
Match total
2.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.30
Match total
22.60

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.90
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%45.3%+6.7 pp
Draw27.0%18.6%-8.4 pp
Away34.3%36.0%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.544.2%
BTTS65.1%

Historical average

1.711.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-111.6%
1-210.5%
1-08.1%
2-18.1%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.055.12
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.9%