Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 14:30
15.5817.2%
X4.7920.0%
21.5362.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DDWWWWWLWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Bayern Munich
LWWWWLWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.80
0.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.00
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
7.50N=10
3.10
Against
3.00
8.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.90goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.80goals per match
Mainz conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.00
8.90
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
8.10N=10
26.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
21.20N=10
4.70
On target
9.20
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.2%18.2%+1.0 pp
Draw20.0%18.2%-1.9 pp
Away62.8%63.6%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.572.7%
BTTS90.9%

Historical average

1.642.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-327.3%
1-318.2%
1-19.1%
2-29.1%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.006.27
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away61.5%