Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 14:30
11.3670.3%
X5.4017.7%
28.0111.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWLWWLWWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Bochum
LLWLLDDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.90
10.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
4.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

3.00goals per match
Bochum conceded1.60
Matchup

Bochum attack

0.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.90
10.00
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
20.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.40
On target
4.40
21%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.3%67.3%-3.1 pp
Draw17.7%21.8%+4.1 pp
Away11.9%10.9%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.200.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.4%
2-014.5%
1-110.9%
1-07.3%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.65
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals73.7%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.9%
Away52.6%