Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 17:30
11.3869.5%
X5.6517.0%
27.1213.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWWLWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Dortmund
WDLWWWDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.00
Against
4.20
8.80
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.30goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.00goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.20
8.80
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.50
Match total
4.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

21.20N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
7.70
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.5%62.5%-7.0 pp
Draw17.0%18.8%+1.8 pp
Away13.5%18.8%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.311.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
3-212.5%
2-112.5%
3-012.5%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.69
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.556.3%
Over 11.543.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%42.3%–75.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI
Away FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.7%
Away43.3%