Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 14:30
11.8551.8%
X3.9124.5%
24.0623.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LLWDWDWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
M'gladbach
DLLDWDLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.80
Against
6.50
11.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.80goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.30goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.50
11.50
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.10
Match total
24.00

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.70
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%32.1%-19.7 pp
Draw24.5%33.9%+9.4 pp
Away23.6%33.9%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.681.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
2-210.7%
1-28.9%
1-37.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.70
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.1%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away63.6%