Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 14:30
12.0147.7%
X3.5626.9%
23.7825.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WDDWWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Stuttgart
LLWLDLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.00
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.30goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.70
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

0.90goals per match
Mainz conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
25.80
Match total
25.20

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches392
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%45.4%-2.3 pp
Draw26.9%29.6%+2.7 pp
Away25.4%25.0%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.561.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-09.7%
2-19.2%
0-08.4%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.42
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=392.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%24.1%–40.0% CI
Draw FT40.2%32.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT28.3%21.2%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away51.2%