Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 14:30
11.9349.7%
X3.6126.6%
24.0323.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Augsburg
WWLDDWLDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Hertha
WLLDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.90
Against
5.70
11.80
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Augsburg attack
1.90goals per matchHertha conceded2.00Matchup
Hertha attack
0.60goals per matchAugsburg conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.70
11.80
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.20
Match total
25.40
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches355
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%48.7%-0.9 pp
Draw26.6%29.9%+3.3 pp
Away23.8%21.4%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.59–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-010.4%
2-19.6%
0-09.0%
2-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.74–4.35
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=355.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%27.2%–44.4% CI
Draw FT40.5%32.0%–49.6% CI
Away FT24.1%17.3%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals16.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away44.8%