Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 14:30
12.5038.4%
X3.3828.4%
22.9033.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DDWLWLWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
WLLLLLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.60
10.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.20goals per match
Mainz conceded1.90
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.00goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.60
10.40
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.60
Match total
25.80

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.30
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.0%-0.4 pp
Draw28.4%31.8%+3.4 pp
Away33.1%30.2%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.471.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-18.9%
2-17.8%
1-07.3%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.56
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%7.7%–28.8% CI
Draw FT51.1%37.0%–65.0% CI
Away FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away57.8%