Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 14:30
12.5038.4%
X3.3828.4%
22.9033.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
DDWLWLWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
WLLLLLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.60
10.40
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.20goals per matchMainz conceded1.90Matchup
Mainz attack
1.00goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.60
10.40
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.60
Match total
25.80
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.30
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.0%-0.4 pp
Draw28.4%31.8%+3.4 pp
Away33.1%30.2%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.47–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
0-18.9%
2-17.8%
1-07.3%
2-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.20–4.56
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%7.7%–28.8% CI
Draw FT51.1%37.0%–65.0% CI
Away FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.2%
Away57.8%