Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-06 · 17:30
13.3428.7%
X3.3029.1%
22.2742.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Augsburg
DWWLDDWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Mainz
LWLLLLLDLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.70
12.00
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Augsburg attack
1.80goals per matchMainz conceded2.00Matchup
Mainz attack
1.00goals per matchAugsburg conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.70
12.00
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.10
Match total
24.30
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.60
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%25.6%-3.1 pp
Draw29.1%27.2%-1.8 pp
Away42.2%47.2%+5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.01–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
0-111.1%
1-210.2%
0-09.8%
1-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.52–5.19
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.7%18.3%–34.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT31.4%23.3%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away53.3%