Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-06 · 17:30
13.3428.7%
X3.3029.1%
22.2742.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
DWWLDDWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Mainz
LWLLLLLDLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.70
12.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded2.00
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.00goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.70
12.00
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.10
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.60
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%25.6%-3.1 pp
Draw29.1%27.2%-1.8 pp
Away42.2%47.2%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.011.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
0-111.1%
1-210.2%
0-09.8%
1-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.525.19
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.7%18.3%–34.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT31.4%23.3%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away53.3%