Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 16:30
12.2842.1%
X3.5627.0%
23.1031.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
DWWLLLLWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Mainz
LLWLLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.00
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded2.00
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.00
9.00
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.10
Match total
23.30

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.70
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%40.4%-1.7 pp
Draw27.0%28.8%+1.8 pp
Away31.0%30.8%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.441.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
2-110.0%
1-09.6%
2-08.8%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.65
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%26.2%–49.1% CI
Draw FT41.5%30.4%–53.7% CI
Away FT21.5%13.3%–33.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals21.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away40.0%