Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 17:30
12.4439.3%
X3.7425.7%
22.7435.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWWWLWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
RB Leipzig
DDLLDWLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
2.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.60
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.20
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.10goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.60
9.60
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.80
Match total
23.00

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.20
On target
4.50
19%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%69.2%+29.9 pp
Draw25.7%0.0%-25.7 pp
Away35.0%30.8%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

1.921.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-123.1%
2-015.4%
0-17.7%
0-27.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.85
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away61.9%