Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 14:30
15.6617.0%
X4.8219.9%
21.5263.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWLLWDWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWLWWWWLWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
3.10
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.70
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
7.30N=10
5.50
Against
3.40
12.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
3.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
4.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.80goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.30
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.40
12.10
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.40
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
21.40
Match total
18.90

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
20.80N=10
5.30
On target
8.90
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%12.5%-4.5 pp
Draw19.9%18.8%-1.2 pp
Away63.1%68.8%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.692.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-325.0%
1-325.0%
1-012.5%
1-112.5%
1-46.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.255.38
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals55.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away70.0%