Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 18:30
13.4427.8%
X3.8724.7%
22.0247.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
WDDWLWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Dortmund
WLWDLWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.10
1.30
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.30
10.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.40goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.30
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.10goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.30
10.10
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
26.10
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.00
On target
5.60
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%16.7%-11.2 pp
Draw24.7%40.0%+15.3 pp
Away47.4%43.3%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS83.3%

Historical average

1.301.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.3%
1-213.3%
2-210.0%
2-110.0%
0-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.47
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.0%
Away65.0%