Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 14:30
11.6458.6%
X3.7625.6%
26.0815.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LWDDWWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bielefeld
DWLLWDWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
8.60
8.90
Total
12.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.00goals per match
Bielefeld conceded1.20
Matchup

Bielefeld attack

0.80goals per match
Mainz conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
8.60
8.90
Match total
12.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.20
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
25.50
Match total
19.90

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.30
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%52.1%-6.5 pp
Draw25.6%30.3%+4.7 pp
Away15.8%17.6%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.660.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
2-113.4%
1-010.1%
2-08.4%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.553.92
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.5%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%24.1%–53.9% CI
Away FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.6%
Away45.9%