Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-16 · 17:30
14.0623.6%
X3.8425.0%
21.8751.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DLWDDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Dortmund
LWLWDLWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
8.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.00goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.40
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.00goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
8.70
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.10
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.50
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.6%24.5%+0.8 pp
Draw25.0%15.3%-9.7 pp
Away51.3%60.2%+8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

1.131.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.4%
1-08.2%
1-18.2%
0-17.1%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.96
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals51.9%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away66.7%