Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 14:30
11.6259.2%
X4.3921.8%
25.0619.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WLLWWDDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
FC Koln
DLLDDWWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
2.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.80
11.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
4.10
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.60goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.90
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.30goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.80
11.10
Match total
10.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
7.10
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%54.5%-4.7 pp
Draw21.8%21.2%-0.6 pp
Away19.0%24.2%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

2.331.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
2-09.1%
2-19.1%
1-29.1%
3-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.94
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away47.4%