Bundesliga · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 17:30
11.5860.5%
X4.5121.2%
25.2118.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WDWWLLLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hertha
WLWLLDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.80
Against
6.00
8.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
2.30
3.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.70goals per match
Hertha conceded2.30
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.80goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.00
8.70
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.90
Match total
25.90

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
6.50
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.5%60.3%-0.1 pp
Draw21.2%15.5%-5.7 pp
Away18.3%24.1%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.543.1%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

2.291.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.8%
2-110.3%
3-08.6%
0-18.6%
5-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.054.17
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.9%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.551.7%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away33.3%