Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-22 · 14:30
11.9449.4%
X3.9924.0%
23.6026.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LDWLWWLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Hertha
LLDLDLLDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
9.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.90goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.70goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
9.60
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.90
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%36.4%-13.0 pp
Draw24.0%18.2%-5.8 pp
Away26.6%45.5%+18.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS72.7%

Historical average

1.451.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-227.3%
1-118.2%
0-118.2%
4-29.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.824.09
Average total10.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Draw FT48.5%32.5%–64.8% CI
Away FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away45.5%