Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:00
16.6114.5%
X5.0219.1%
21.4466.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLLWWLWDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Dortmund
LWLLLWLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.90
7.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
4.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.90
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.90
7.20
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
29.30
Match total
20.40

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.00
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%10.5%-4.0 pp
Draw19.1%31.6%+12.5 pp
Away66.5%57.9%-8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

0.792.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-126.3%
1-315.8%
0-210.5%
2-35.3%
0-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.475.79
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away61.5%