Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 14:30
11.8850.9%
X3.7125.8%
24.1223.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
DWLWDLLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Union Berlin
WLLLWDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.50
Against
3.90
8.50
Total
6.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.00goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.50
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.90
8.50
Match total
6.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.60
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%51.5%+0.6 pp
Draw25.8%26.3%+0.5 pp
Away23.2%22.2%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.621.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
1-112.0%
2-09.6%
0-08.4%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.34
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%33.3%–59.5% CI
Draw FT40.4%28.2%–53.9% CI
Away FT13.5%6.7%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away30.8%