Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 14:30
18.6011.1%
X5.8216.4%
21.3272.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWDWWLLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bayern Munich
WLWWWLWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
7.00N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
6.80
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.20goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
6.80
Match total
11.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
26.50
Match total
21.20

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
17.90N=10
4.60
On target
6.20
21%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.1%8.3%-2.8 pp
Draw16.4%8.3%-8.1 pp
Away72.4%83.3%+10.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

0.832.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-333.3%
1-28.3%
0-28.3%
0-18.3%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.587.08
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%