Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 14:30
11.8352.3%
X4.0623.6%
23.9624.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ein Frankfurt
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Mainz
DLDLDWDWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.30
Against
4.00
10.90
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
4.00
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ein Frankfurt attack

2.70goals per match
Mainz conceded1.40
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
Ein Frankfurt conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.00
10.90
Match total
8.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
23.50
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.20
On target
4.40
20%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%76.5%+24.2 pp
Draw23.6%5.9%-17.7 pp
Away24.2%17.6%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

2.410.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-123.5%
4-017.6%
4-25.9%
2-05.9%
3-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.594.24
Average total8.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.517.6%
Over 11.517.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away70.0%