Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 12:30
12.0546.7%
X3.6925.9%
23.4927.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DLLDWLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Freiburg
WWLLDWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
8.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.40
Matchup

Freiburg attack

0.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
8.70
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.00
Match total
25.40

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
2.80
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%40.3%-6.4 pp
Draw25.9%24.6%-1.3 pp
Away27.4%35.1%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.571.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.2%
1-110.4%
1-29.7%
2-28.2%
3-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.63
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Draw FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI
Away FT37.8%24.1%–53.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals27.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away59.5%