Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-06 · 17:30
12.0347.1%
X3.6126.5%
23.6226.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
WDWLLLLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Freiburg
DWWLLDWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.40goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.20
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Hertha conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.30
Match total
25.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
6.50
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%42.6%-4.5 pp
Draw26.5%25.0%-1.5 pp
Away26.4%32.4%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.581.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.2%
1-210.1%
1-010.1%
0-19.0%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.66
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%20.8%–45.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%19.1%–43.8% CI
Away FT38.0%25.9%–51.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals26.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away60.0%