Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-03 · 17:00
12.4139.6%
X3.4927.4%
22.8933.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLLLWWLWDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Hertha
DDLLDLDLLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.50
1.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Against
5.60
7.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.80goals per match
Hertha conceded1.50
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.50goals per match
Mainz conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.60
7.00
Match total
8.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
28.80
Match total
28.50

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%38.5%-1.2 pp
Draw27.4%28.8%+1.5 pp
Away33.0%32.7%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.421.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-213.5%
2-110.9%
2-29.0%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.71
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.7%–47.5% CI
Draw FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT31.3%19.9%–45.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals54.2%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away56.3%