Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 17:00
11.6259.0%
X3.8724.7%
25.8816.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
DLWWWLLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Bielefeld
LLWDLDLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.80goals per matchBielefeld conceded1.50Matchup
Bielefeld attack
0.90goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.20
Match total
28.40
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.0%55.1%-3.9 pp
Draw24.7%16.3%-8.4 pp
Away16.3%28.6%+12.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS40.8%
Historical average
1.57–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-014.3%
2-112.2%
0-112.2%
1-012.2%
2-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.59–4.08
Average total10.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.536.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away50.0%