Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 14:30
12.7634.6%
X3.5127.2%
22.5038.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWWDWWLLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Hoffenheim
LWLWLDDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
4.10
6.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.30goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.10
6.60
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.20
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.20
Match total
26.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.60
21%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%34.7%+0.1 pp
Draw27.2%28.7%+1.5 pp
Away38.2%36.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.301.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
1-29.9%
0-09.9%
0-28.9%
3-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.525.17
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.2%
Over 9.563.4%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.538.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Draw FT47.2%32.0%–63.0% CI
Away FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away50.0%