Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:30
13.0930.9%
X3.2929.0%
22.3840.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
LLLWDDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Mainz
LDLDLDWDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
3.20
8.20
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.00goals per match
Mainz conceded1.60
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.20
8.20
Match total
7.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
25.10
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.9%-1.0 pp
Draw29.0%23.8%-5.2 pp
Away40.1%46.3%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS42.5%

Historical average

0.971.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.7%
1-111.7%
0-29.8%
1-08.9%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.07
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%18.8%–39.0% CI
Draw FT27.8%18.8%–39.0% CI
Away FT44.4%33.5%–55.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.1%
Away55.6%